7–9 Apr 2026
Europe/Amsterdam timezone

S2WARM (St Andrews Space Weather Active Region Monitor)

7 Apr 2026, 15:00
15m
ESOC Press Centre

ESOC Press Centre

Robert-Bosch-Str. 5 64293 Darmstadt Germany
In-person oral presentation Analysis of Solar Activity

Speaker

Paolo Pagano (Università degli Studi di Palermo)

Description

S2WARM (St Andrews Space Weather Active Region Monitor) recognises eruptive solar active regions by assimilating magnetogram data into 3D NLFFF simulations and projecting their evolution. It computes first a theoretical and then a specific metrics to issue green, amber, or red alerts, factoring magnetic flux changes and Lorentz force evolution. Tested on a full rotation with 23 cases, S2WARM correctly classified most of them and provides some interesting insights.
S2WARM is a model based on the 3D reconstruction of the magnetic field above and active region and its physical properties, hence providing an interesting platform where space weather prediction and physics of the solar corona meet.

Numerical model S2WARM

Author

Paolo Pagano (Università degli Studi di Palermo)

Co-authors

Prof. Duncan Mackay (University of St Andrews) Dr Stephanie Yardley (Northumbria University)

Presentation materials

There are no materials yet.