2–4 Mar 2021
ESA/ESOC
Europe/Berlin timezone

DMF as support framework for impact risk applications

4 Mar 2021, 15:00
10m
ESA/ESOC

ESA/ESOC

Virtual Event
Presentation Day 3 - A Future Scenario Talks - Day 3

Speaker

Lemmens, Stijn (European Space Agency)

Description

"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it is about the future", yet this is exactly the reality we face when we want to build the missions of tomorrow against the design requirements and licence requirements of today. Impact risks and the associated uncertainties in the untracked regime, caused by the uncertainties on the future launch traffic and adherence rates to space debris mitigation guidelines, can become unacceptably high when we have a pessimistic view of the future. On the other hand, we do not wish to underestimate risks of operating in a congested environment either.

Within the debris mitigation facility, a direct link with the work done on environment capacity and the tracking of current trends in space debris mitigation is envisaged. This link can be most clearly expressed under the form of regular MASTER population updates, based on direct data processing rules regularly applied to the measured environment. The aim is to have an automated extrapolation under modulated conditions with specific applications and community feedback in mind.

Primary author

Lemmens, Stijn (European Space Agency)

Presentation materials