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Space Debris Risk Assessment and Mitigation Analysis Workshop

16–17 Jan 2025
ESA/ESOC, Darmstadt
Europe/Amsterdam timezone

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Contribution List

31 out of 31 displayed
  1. 1. Welcome & Introduction [on-site + online]
    Lucía Ayala Fernández (Technische Universität Braunschweig), Vitali Braun (IMS Space Consultancy GmbH), Ms Xanthi Oikonomidou (European Space Agency)
    16/01/2025, 09:30
  2. 2. Latest developments towards DRAMA 4.1 [on-site + online]
    Mr Frederik Läuferts (OKAPI:Orbits GmbH)
    16/01/2025, 10:00

    With a five year period of the Debris Mitigation Facility (DMF) activities coming to a close, our core developers and partners from OKAPI:Orbits and iTTi are taking the opportunity to present the latest steps in the DRAMA evolution to the broader community. This presentation is focusing on the transition from DRAMA 4.0 (upcoming release in January 2025) towards DRAMA 4.1, including many new...

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  3. 7. The Causal Future
    Mr James Ward (CEO of Epistemology)
    16/01/2025, 11:30

    The current suite of software tools for managing space debris at ESA (MASTER, DRAMA) were conceived some decades ago, when the statistical approach to uncertainty in science dominated.

    Since that time, the discipline of causal science has made great strides as a tool for uncertainty management and policy optimisation. Causal science is often preferred over statistical approaches in the...

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  4. 9. OHB’s Approach to Space Environment Modelling: MMOD Impacts and Re-entry
    Sara De Masi (OHB)
    16/01/2025, 11:45

    MASTER and DRAMA tools are currently used for analysis in OHB. Nevertheless, with the growing focus on impacts and debris, new techniques have been investigated and implemented to improve the accuracy and the modelling of the space environment. This talk will focus on two examples. The first one is about the use of MEM for models outside 1AU to complete MASTER. And the second one is about...

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  5. 8. The new MASTER population
    Mr Andre Horstmann (IMS Space Consultancy GmbH)
    16/01/2025, 12:00
  6. 10. Improving DRAMA/ARES for low-thrust missions
    Mr Santiago Martínez Alcalde (GMV)
    16/01/2025, 12:15

    This talk will describe recent developments in the DRAMA/ARES tool to enable an improved analysis of collision avoidance strategies for low-thrust missions, including not only routine operations but also electric orbit raisings with pre-computed trajectories, and covering also different operational concepts to tackle the growth of the orbital uncertainty due to the low-thrust propulsion.

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  7. 12. ESTIMATE Materials Update
    Mx Saskia Hawkins
    16/01/2025, 12:30
  8. 11. SARA glass and ablative materials and other modelling enhancements
    Ian Holbrough (Belstead Research Limited), James Beck (Belstead Research Ltd)
    16/01/2025, 12:45
  9. 20. Collision Avoidance
    Vitali Braun (IMS Space Consultancy GmbH)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    At this round table we want to understand if current collision avoidance practices across the broader community, and especially with respect to the Zero Debris approach, are well reflected well in DRAMA/ARES and if not, to discuss which methods or features we would want to develop and implement.

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  10. 21. Damage Assessments
    Ms Xanthi Oikonomidou (European Space Agency)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    At this round table, we want to understand if damage assessments in DRAMA/MIDAS cover the most relevant analyses and if not, what needs to be developed.

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  11. 27. Data Collection and Sharing
    Stijn Lemmens (European Space Agency)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    With various existing databases (such as DISCOS, ESTIMATE, UCS, TLE catalogue) how do these enable mitigation and risk analyses - and what is missing here to further facilitate such analyses?

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  12. 22. Disposal Analyses and Remaining Lifetime Assessments
    Lucía Ayala Fernández (Technische Universität Braunschweig)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    At this round table, we want to understand if functionalities in DRAMA/OSCAR cover the most relevant analyses and, if not, what needs to be developed.

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  13. 26. Impact of Large Constellations
    Benjamin Bastida Virgili (ESA/ESOC)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    At this round table, we want to understand how the deployment of large constellations is shaping/changing the environment and how these changes impact our way of performing risk assessments and mitigation analyses.

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  14. 29. Modelling Support for Interplanetary Missions
    Sara De Masi (OHB)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    At this round table, we want to explore what we know about existing environmental models for interplanetary missions and how we approach such mission from the modelling perspective.

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  15. 19. Re-entry Modelling
    Silvia Sanvido (IMS Space Consultancy)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    At this round table, we want to understand whether our current abilities to model destructive reentry are aligned with what community members expect, primarily in mission design but also other areas. Identify what should be primarily focused on in our roadmap, bearing in mind that our tool (DRAMA/SARA) is not a CFD simulation but rather provides a good first estimate of the on-ground casualty risk.

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  16. 24. Space Debris x Futures
    Mr Daniel Schimmelpfennig (CTTF)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    Space Debris x Futures will guide participants through the complexities of space debris accumulation as an immersive and forward-thinking scenario exercise. We aim to provoke strategic foresight and disruptive anticipation by exploring adaptive, generational responses that supersede immediate contingency measures. Through role-playing, cross-disciplinary insights, collaborative activities, and...

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  17. 28. Supporting Atmosphere and Ocean Impact Assessments
    Saskia Hawkins
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    With so many uncertainties and open questions in the field of spacecraft disposal and the interactions with the atmosphere and the oceans, how can we begin to approach assessments/criteria/requirements?

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  18. 23. Trackability and Brightness Assessments
    Philippe Meyers (ESA)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    At this round table, we want to understand how our modelling of sensor (networks) and spacecraft reflectivity can suit the needs of both spacecraft and sensor operators.

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  19. 25. Zero Debris with DRAMA
    Estelle Crouzet (ESA/ESOC)
    16/01/2025, 14:00

    At this round table, we want to understand how the current DRAMA framework supports analyses of compliance with the Zero Debris approach.

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  20. 3. Round table wrap-up [on-site + online]
    16/01/2025, 16:30

    In this session, we will present, summarise, and discuss the outcomes of the different parallel group discussion during the round table session.

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  21. 4. DRAMA Quiz [on-site + online]
    16/01/2025, 18:00

    The legendary DRAMA quiz all around space debris mitigation - and more. Those who turn out to be quiz champions can expect some goodies from us - on-site and online :)

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  22. 30. Meeting for Clinics [on-site]
    17/01/2025, 08:45
  23. 13. ARES Clinic
    Benjamin Bastida Virgili (ESA/ESOC)
    17/01/2025, 09:15
  24. 18. DRAMA 4.x GUI Clinic
    Frederik Läuferts (OKAPI:Orbits GmbH), Philippe Meyers (ESA)
    17/01/2025, 09:15
  25. 17. MASTER Clinic
    Mr Andre Horstmann (IMS Space Consultancy GmbH)
    17/01/2025, 09:15
  26. 15. MIDAS Clinic
    Ms Xanthi Oikonomidou (European Space Agency)
    17/01/2025, 09:15
  27. 14. OSCAR Clinic
    Vitali Braun (IMS Space Consultancy GmbH)
    17/01/2025, 09:15
  28. 16. SARA Clinic
    Stijn Lemmens (European Space Agency)
    17/01/2025, 09:15

    Understand whether our current abilities to model destructive reentry are aligned with what community members expect, primarily in mission design but also other areas. Identify what should be primarily focused on in our roadmap, bearing in mind that our tool (DRAMA/SARA) is not a CFD simulation but rather provides a good first estimate of the on-ground casualty risk.

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  29. 6. Discussion, Feedback & Conclusion [on-site + online]
    17/01/2025, 11:30

    A session to reflect and discuss open points.

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  30. 31. Group Picture
    17/01/2025, 12:55
  31. 5. DRAMA Clinics [on-site + online]

    Join one thematic clinic for this session to learn more about how to work hands-on with DRAMA and ask your questions to the experts and developers moderating your session. Each clinic is closely linked to the different tools in DRAMA, for instance SARA for the re-entry aspects, or ARES for operational collision avoidance.

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