Speaker
Description
We present a novel statistical methodology for developing a radiation belt specification model that provides short- to long-term flux averages for spacecraft mission profiles, accounting for variability due to launch date and space weather/climate conditions. For this, we use an existing reanalysis database constructed using a physics-based radiation belt model and data assimilation. We analyse its flux distributions as well as the space and time correlation functions, and build a representative statistical model of the reanalysis database. Using this statistical representation, we build an innovative specification model prototype which is fast and easy to use, but can effectively be used for mission profiles at all timescales.
This work received funding from the European Space Agency under ESA Contract 4000137689/22/NL/CRS.